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ERCOT, the Texas Grid & Your HVAC System

Texas operates the only independent power grid in the continental United States. Here's what that means for your HVAC system, your electricity bills, and your family's comfort during extreme weather.

How the Texas Grid Actually Works

Understanding the grid structure helps explain why your electricity bills fluctuate and why outages happen.

Generation

Power plants produce electricity from natural gas (52%), wind (23%), solar (6%), coal (14%), and nuclear (5%)

Transmission

High-voltage lines carry power from plants to substations—Oncor, CenterPoint, AEP manage the wires

Distribution

Lower-voltage lines deliver power from substations to your home and HVAC system

Retail

TXU, Reliant, Green Mountain, and 100+ retail electric providers (REPs) sell power to consumers

ERCOT

Non-profit grid operator that balances supply and demand in real-time, 24/7/365

Why Texas Has Its Own Grid

Texas is the only state in the lower 48 that operates independently from the national interconnected grid. Here's why that matters.

Avoid federal regulation

The Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC) regulates interstate electricity. By not crossing state lines, Texas avoided federal oversight until recent legislative changes.

Market flexibility

Texas pioneered electricity deregulation in 2002, creating a competitive retail market where you can choose your provider.

Faster decision-making

State-level control allows quicker responses to local needs without federal bureaucracy—though this also means less backup during emergencies.

Energy independence

Texas produces more electricity than it consumes, making it largely self-sufficient in normal conditions.

The Trade-off: Independence means Texas can't easily import power from other states during emergencies. During Winter Storm Uri, only about 800 MW could be imported from neighboring grids—roughly 1% of peak demand. When Texas generators failed, there was no backup.

Grid Stress Levels Explained

ERCOT uses a tiered alert system to communicate grid conditions. Here's what each level means for you.

Normal Operations

Reserves: >3,000 MW

Grid operating normally with comfortable reserve margins.

Your action: No action needed—use electricity as normal.

Conservation Appeal

Reserves: 2,300-3,000 MW

Voluntary request to reduce usage. Grid is tight but manageable.

Your action: Raise thermostat 2-3°F, delay laundry and dishwasher until evening.

Energy Emergency Alert 1

Reserves: 1,750-2,300 MW

Reserves falling. All available generation being deployed.

Your action: Significant reduction needed. Set AC to 78°F or higher, turn off non-essential devices.

Energy Emergency Alert 2

Reserves: <1,750 MW

Emergency conditions. Load shedding (rolling blackouts) may begin.

Your action: Reduce to minimum. Prepare for potential power loss—charge phones, gather flashlights.

Energy Emergency Alert 3

Reserves: Rotating outages

Rolling blackouts in progress to prevent total grid collapse.

Your action: Expect 15-45 minute outages rotating through areas. Protect vulnerable family members.

When the Grid Is Most Stressed

Understanding peak demand times helps you reduce bills and support grid stability.

Time Period Risk Level Why
2:00 PM - 7:00 PM (Summer) Highest AC units working hardest as homes absorb afternoon heat and people return from work
6:00 AM - 9:00 AM (Winter) High Electric heating, heat pumps running on backup heat strips during cold mornings
8:00 PM - 11:00 PM Medium-High Cooking, electronics, and HVAC still running but solar generation dropping to zero
11:00 PM - 6:00 AM Lowest Most businesses closed, temperatures dropping, minimal AC usage

Major Texas Grid Events: What We've Learned

Each grid crisis teaches lessons about HVAC preparation and resilience.

Winter Storm Uri

February 2021

Impact

4.5 million homes without power, 246+ deaths, $195 billion in damages

Cause

Natural gas supply froze, generators failed, demand exceeded supply by 30,000+ MW

HVAC Lesson: Heat pumps without auxiliary heat failed completely. Gas furnaces without power backup couldn't operate. Proper winterization critical.

August 2019 Near-Miss

August 2019

Impact

Prices hit $9,000/MWh (vs. normal $25-50)

Cause

Multiple generators offline during extreme heat, reserves dropped below 3%

HVAC Lesson: High-efficiency equipment reduces grid strain. Variable-speed systems adjust gradually vs. single-stage cycling.

May 2022 Heat Wave

May 2022

Impact

Record demand for May, conservation appeals issued

Cause

Unseasonably hot temperatures caught seasonal maintenance off guard

HVAC Lesson: Have maintenance done in March/April before peak season begins.

Winter Storm Elliott

December 2022

Impact

Rolling blackouts narrowly avoided

Cause

Record winter demand, some generator trips

HVAC Lesson: Post-Uri weatherization improvements helped, but system still vulnerable to extreme cold.

Demand Response Programs in North Texas

These programs pay you to reduce usage during grid emergencies or shift usage to off-peak times.

Program Provider Benefit Enrollment
Oncor Smart Thermostat Program Oncor Receive a free smart thermostat and $50-85/year for allowing temperature adjustments during peak events Through participating REPs
TXU Free Nights & Weekends TXU Energy Free electricity from 9 PM - 6 AM weekdays and all weekend Direct with TXU
Reliant Truly Free Weekends Reliant Free electricity Friday 6 PM through Sunday 11:59 PM Direct with Reliant
Griddy-style Real-Time Pricing Various Pay wholesale prices—can be very cheap or extremely expensive Requires research and risk tolerance
CoServ Load Management CoServ Credits for allowing cycling of AC compressor during emergencies CoServ members only

Real Example: A Frisco homeowner with TXU Free Nights runs their AC aggressively from midnight to 6 AM, pre-cooling the home to 68°F. During free hours, this costs nothing. The home slowly warms to 76°F by evening, avoiding most peak-rate usage. Annual savings: $400-$600 compared to a flat-rate plan.

Time-of-Use Strategies for Your HVAC

If you have a time-of-use electricity plan, these strategies can significantly reduce your bills while helping the grid.

Pre-cool your home

Saves 15-25%

When: Cool to 72°F by 2 PM

Run AC hard during cheap morning hours, then let it coast through expensive afternoon peak.

Delay major appliances

Saves 10-20%

When: Run after 9 PM

Dishwashers, laundry, and EV charging during off-peak hours.

Smart thermostat scheduling

Saves 10-15%

When: Program higher temps 2-7 PM

Automatically reduce cooling during peak pricing without manual intervention.

Thermal mass usage

Saves 5-15%

When: Cool overnight

Concrete floors, tile, and thermal mass absorb coolness overnight and release it during the day.

HVAC Equipment That Helps the Grid

Certain equipment choices reduce your demand on the grid and protect you during outages.

Equipment Grid Benefit Cost ROI
Variable-speed heat pump Gradual startup reduces demand spikes, draws 30-50% less power during normal operation $8,000-$16,000 7-12 years
Whole-house generator Complete independence during outages, protects vulnerable family members $8,000-$15,000 installed Priceless during emergencies
Battery backup system Store cheap overnight power, use during expensive peaks or outages $10,000-$20,000 8-15 years depending on TOU rates
Smart thermostat Automates demand response, optimizes usage around peak pricing $200-$500 1-2 years
Ductless mini-split (zone) Cool only occupied rooms, reduce whole-house AC runtime $3,000-$6,000 per zone 4-7 years

Backup Power Options Compared

After Winter Storm Uri, many homeowners asked about backup power. Here's a realistic comparison.

Portable Generator

$500-$2,000

Power Output

3,000-12,000W

Can Power

Window AC, refrigerator, lights, phone charging

Limitations

Noisy, requires gasoline, manual start, cannot power central HVAC

Standby Generator

$8,000-$15,000 installed

Power Output

10,000-22,000W

Can Power

Central AC, full house including HVAC

Limitations

Requires natural gas line, professional installation, weekly testing

Battery + Solar

$15,000-$40,000

Power Output

5,000-15,000W

Can Power

Lights, refrigerator, small AC or heat pump

Limitations

Cannot sustain central AC for long periods, expensive

EV as Backup (V2H)

$2,000-$5,000 for equipment (plus EV)

Power Output

Varies by vehicle

Can Power

Depends on setup—some can power a house for 2-3 days

Limitations

Requires compatible EV and bidirectional charger

Best for Most Homes

A standby generator ($8,000-$15,000 installed) provides whole-house power including central AC. It starts automatically during outages and runs on natural gas—no refueling needed.

Budget Option

A portable generator ($500-$1,500) can power a window AC, refrigerator, and phone charging. Keep 20+ gallons of stabilized gas on hand and know how to use it safely.

Weatherization Checklist for Grid Resilience

Reducing your HVAC energy use helps during grid emergencies and extends comfort during outages.

Action Benefit Priority
Seal air leaks around doors/windows Reduces HVAC runtime by 10-20%, helping during grid stress High
Add attic insulation to R-38+ Keeps conditioned air inside longer during outages High
Install weatherstripping on doors Prevents conditioned air loss, reduces demand Medium
Insulate ductwork in unconditioned spaces Prevents 20-30% energy loss in attics/crawlspaces High
Install low-e window film Blocks heat gain, reduces afternoon AC load Medium
Wrap water heater and exposed pipes Prevents freezing during winter emergencies High (winter)

Monitor the Grid in Real-Time

Stay informed about grid conditions so you can respond before alerts are issued.

What to Do During a Grid Emergency

Quick reference guide for each alert level.

Conservation Appeal (Voluntary)

  • • Raise thermostat to 78°F (or 2-3° higher than normal)
  • • Delay running dishwasher, laundry, and other major appliances
  • • Turn off unnecessary lights and electronics
  • • Close blinds on south and west-facing windows
  • • Pre-cool home before peak hours if possible

Energy Emergency Alert 1-2

  • • All conservation measures plus: set AC to highest tolerable temp (78-82°F)
  • • Turn off pool pumps, hot tubs, and non-essential equipment
  • • Unplug devices not in active use
  • • Prepare for potential outage: charge phones, locate flashlights
  • • Check on vulnerable family members and neighbors

Energy Emergency Alert 3 (Rolling Blackouts)

  • • Outages are rotating—yours should be 15-45 minutes
  • • Don't open refrigerator/freezer unnecessarily (food stays cold for 4+ hours)
  • • If you have medical equipment: contact provider, use backup power
  • • Move to a safe location if temperature becomes dangerous
  • • Don't restart AC at full blast when power returns—wait 5 minutes

Frequently Asked Questions

Why does Texas have its own power grid?
Texas built its own grid primarily to avoid federal regulation under the Federal Power Act, which governs interstate electricity commerce. By keeping generation and transmission within state borders, Texas maintained state-level control over its electricity market. This allowed Texas to pioneer electricity deregulation in 2002, creating the competitive retail market where you can choose your power company. However, this independence also means limited ability to import power from neighboring states during emergencies—connections exist but can only provide about 1,000 MW (roughly 1% of peak demand).
What happened during Winter Storm Uri and how has the grid changed?
Winter Storm Uri in February 2021 was the worst grid failure in Texas history. Temperatures dropped below 0°F across much of the state, causing natural gas supply lines to freeze, generators to fail, and demand to exceed available supply by over 30,000 MW. Rolling blackouts lasted days, not hours, because there wasn't enough generation to restore power. Since then, Texas passed legislation requiring weatherization of power plants, created an emergency backup fund, and increased battery storage. The grid is more resilient now, but another extended polar vortex would still stress the system.
How do I know when the grid is stressed?
ERCOT issues alerts through multiple channels: their website and mobile app, local news stations, and emergency broadcast systems. You can also monitor grid status in real-time at ercot.com. Key indicators: when operating reserves drop below 3,000 MW, a conservation appeal is likely. Below 2,300 MW triggers Energy Emergency Alert Level 1. Your retail provider may also send alerts if you've opted into demand response programs.
Will my smart thermostat be controlled during grid emergencies?
Only if you've enrolled in a demand response program. If you have an Oncor-connected Nest or ecobee through their Rush Hour Rewards program, ERCOT can request temperature adjustments during emergencies—typically raising your setpoint 2-4°F. You receive annual credits ($50-85) for participation, and you can override the adjustment at any time if the temperature becomes uncomfortable. If you haven't enrolled, your thermostat remains 100% in your control.
Should I get a whole-house generator after Uri?
It depends on your situation. If you have vulnerable family members (elderly, medical equipment dependent, infants), a generator provides critical peace of mind. For most healthy adults, a portable generator for essentials (refrigerator, phone charging, fans) may be sufficient at 1/10th the cost. Standby generators require natural gas—which also faced supply issues during Uri—so they're not foolproof. Battery backup with solar is more reliable but costs 2-3x more than a gas generator.
How does a variable-speed AC help the grid?
Variable-speed systems start gradually and run continuously at partial capacity rather than cycling on/off at full power. A single-stage 4-ton AC draws 4,000+ watts at startup and creates demand spikes across the grid when millions of units cycle simultaneously. Variable-speed units may only draw 1,500-2,000 watts during normal operation and avoid those spikes entirely. During grid stress events, this reduced demand adds up—if 1 million homes each reduced draw by 2,000W, that's 2,000 MW of reduced demand (roughly one large power plant).
What electricity plan is best for reducing my grid impact?
Time-of-use (TOU) plans incentivize shifting usage away from peak times. Plans like TXU Free Nights reward you for running major appliances overnight when the grid has excess capacity. You save money AND reduce strain during the 2-7 PM peak when the grid is most vulnerable. The key is matching the plan to your lifestyle—if you can't shift usage, a flat-rate plan may actually cost less. Use PowerToChoose.org to compare plans based on your usage patterns.
Can solar panels and batteries keep my AC running during a blackout?
Typically not for standard central AC. A 4-ton AC draws 4,000-5,000 watts continuously—most residential battery systems (13.5 kWh Tesla Powerwall) would be depleted in 2-3 hours. However, high-efficiency mini-split systems drawing 1,500 watts could run for 8-10 hours on a charged battery, or indefinitely if solar panels are generating. For true AC backup during extended outages, you'd need 2-3 battery units ($30,000-$45,000) or a hybrid setup with a natural gas generator.
How long do rolling blackouts typically last?
During planned rotating outages, each area typically loses power for 15-45 minutes before being restored and another area is cut. The outages rotate through the grid to distribute the burden fairly. However, Winter Storm Uri was different—the shortage was so severe that some areas were without power for days because there simply wasn't enough generation to restore service. ERCOT's goal is always 15-45 minute rotations, but actual duration depends on the severity of the shortage.
What should I do if ERCOT issues a conservation appeal?
Conservation appeals are voluntary but important. Raise your thermostat 2-3°F (from 72 to 75, for example), delay running dishwashers and laundry until after 7 PM, turn off unnecessary lights and electronics, and unplug devices not in use. During summer peaks, pre-cool your home before 2 PM, then let it drift warmer through the afternoon. These small actions, multiplied across millions of homes, can prevent the situation from escalating to rolling blackouts.
Are there any areas of Texas not on ERCOT?
Yes. El Paso is connected to the Western Interconnection and wasn't affected by Uri. Parts of the Texas Panhandle and East Texas border areas connect to the Eastern Interconnection through SPP (Southwest Power Pool). Beaumont and some Gulf Coast areas connect to MISO (Midcontinent ISO). About 10% of Texas electricity customers are not on ERCOT, though most of the DFW Metroplex is entirely ERCOT-served.
How can I prepare my HVAC for extreme weather events?
For summer: schedule maintenance in spring before demand peaks, ensure refrigerant levels are correct, clean or replace filters monthly, and consider upgrading to high-efficiency equipment that handles extreme heat better. For winter: verify your heat pump has auxiliary heat strips that work, insulate exposed pipes, have your furnace inspected, and consider a backup heating source (gas fireplace, portable heater). Year-round: seal air leaks, add insulation, and ensure outdoor unit is clear of debris.

Official Resources

Prepare Your System for Any Weather

Professional maintenance ensures your HVAC handles Texas extremes—from triple-digit summers to surprise freezes.

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